The Fandom Menace: Profiling Star Wars’ Influential Fanbase - GWI
Telling us the amount of fans out there doesn’t tell us squat on buying habits with comics and the correlation it will create when it comes to demand of a single product. OMFG… you just don’t get it…
When Ice Cream Sales rise, so do Shark Attacks… ← that’s the type of logic you’re using when you come in here and try to say X fans = Y comic per fan = Potential Demand…
When you understand your logical fallacy in your argument, it’ll all make sense…
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I never liked the distinction between exclusive and normal distribution covers when it comes to firsts. First is first. Yeah, it sucks when first is on a retailer variant, but it’s still first.
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Pretty likely HR 2 will be considered a cameo by the market, and HR 5 will be first full app for Rwoh.
And, as for HR spec potential, it was heavily speculated on by those in the know, and it’ll take time for excess supply to be sopped up by new readers and new collectors.
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No! You just don’t get it!
I AM NOT IMPLYING THAT EVERY FAN WILL WANT TO BUY HIGH REPUBLIC COMICS!
I AM DEMONSTRATING WHAT PERCENTAGE OF THESE FANS WOULD NEED TO DO SO IN ORDER FOR DEMAND TO EXCEED SUPPLY.
This is a common sense cursory review that any reasonable person would make before diving into any type of investment that is dependent on the size of its fan base. Whether it be buying a Subway franchise or speculating in comics.
This is just simple business 101.
With you using this analogy it appears you’re trying to twist my words.
I’m not comparing oranges to apples. Like you’re inferring.
Star Wars fans divided by Star Wars comic books.
It’s a simple, rudimentary way to analyze potential.
Is there a reason you are yelling? If you take this personal, you’ve already lost the debate.
That exactly right there is also what I’m debating you on. Total number of fans to calculate demand on a product is not ideal since not all fans collect comics. Not all fans collect action figures. Not all fans even watch the movies or shows. That’s the whole point of me saying your logic falls flat. When you introduce number of fans to correlate what it takes to create demand, that’s just trying to hype the inflated numbers to create this sense of it being more scarce if every fan was buying comics or the product.
If you can somehow manage to knock down the number of fans who actually collect the comics with backed up data, then maybe, you can come up with something that would stand in a court of law based on actual factual data.
And it’s not a simple rudimentary way to analyze the potential because we all know 100 million fans are not all going after a comic book. If they did, we would see publisher sales in the millions, not thousands. It’s just common sense at this point and your logic still falls flat by using number of fans theory to push your proofiness numbers which is just deception at this point.
I’m not using that to twist your words, I’m using that as example of the logical fallacy you are using in your argument to back your claims of demand potential.
I don’t think we’ve ever associated FOMO as a behavior pre-FOC.
I guess the “fear” can come at any time. But my point really is speculators were buying these up, but there are still fans out there that do not pay attention to a character until they see the character on a screen.
We’ll see. But I’m not one to wait 7 or 25 years to make some money. If the iron is hot, I’ll strike.
I don’t think I even have a dog in the fight for this character. I didn’t go heavy on High Republic…maybe 2 issues each. One to hold out for a FOMO burst and another for the PC.
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Your position is illogical.
I’m not saying X percentage of fans will buy High Republic comics. Like you apparently think I am.
My math is based on what percentage needs to buy one in order to exceed supply.
You’re basing that off total number of fans though, not actual comic book collectors within the fan base. So you’re position is illogical by just throwing out random numbers to come up with a supply vs demand argument that doesn’t hold up. There’s too many other factors involved to get an actual true estimate of supply vs demand, etc. I’m done with this though… stop using proofiness BS numbers, which is exactly what you are doing here because the simple argument is, we don’t know how many people will actually want X product and we don’t even know the actual number of X product was created. Even those not considered a “fan” might want this product at a certain time.
Again, those factors become important when trying to forecast the percentage of fans who will buy a High Republic comic.
That’s not what I’m doing. I’m forecasting the percentage of fans who need to buy one in order to exceed supply.
The factors you mention are 100% irrelevant when determining the percentage of fans who needs to buy one.
No, they’re not. Total number of fans does not play a part in demand for a single type of product that only a much smaller percentage likely want or chase.
My dad was a huge star wars fan, didn’t buy any merchandise. I’m sure there are millions more like that. So again, you using total number of fans is moot when determining potential demand in the future of something.
Finally all my high republic books will do something
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Of course the size of the fan base matters.
It’s used to determine the law of averages.
And, then, in turn, to forecast demand by drilling down into the variables that you mention.
But, I’m not forecasting demand. I’m not forecasting anything.
I’m simply calculating what percentage of Star Wars fans would have to buy, at a maximum of one copy each, before the world runs out of copies to sell to them.
I’m good with your point being ‘there are a lot of Star Wars fans out there’.
Here’s hoping they make a good HR show.
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So are you forecasting or not forecasting because I’m confused.
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